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U.S. Natural Gas Production Poised for a Record Year in 2026

  • Writer: Tony Zelinski
    Tony Zelinski
  • 28 minutes ago
  • 1 min read
 U.S. Natural Gas Production Poised for a Record Year in 2026
 U.S. Natural Gas Production Poised for a Record Year in 2026

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that marketed natural gas production will average 122.5 Bcf/d in 2026, surpassing last year’s record 118.5 Bcf/d. This growth reflects sustained momentum in the Permian Basin and Haynesville Shale, where operators continue to expand output despite evolving price dynamics.


⚙️ Permian Momentum


  • Production expected to reach 29.2 Bcf/d, up 6% from 2025.

  • Supported by WTI crude prices averaging $84/b, well above breakeven levels.

  • Rising gas‑to‑oil ratios are amplifying associated gas volumes.


🌎 Haynesville Resilience


  • Output forecast to climb 9% (1.3 Bcf/d) in 2026.

  • Despite deeper wells and higher development costs, Henry Hub prices near $3.44/MMBtu keep drilling economical.

  • Proximity to LNG export terminals and Gulf Coast industrial demand continues to attract investment.


🔹 Strategic Takeaways for Energy Managers


As production expands, volatility and regional basis shifts will remain central to risk management.

At Premier Energy Management, we advise clients to:


  • ✔ Lock in advantageous winter positions before October

  • ✔ Balance forward risk with regional basis exposure

  • ✔ Monitor El Niño transition into peak phase


The coming year offers an opportunity for those who align procurement and hedging strategies with evolving supply fundamentals.






Would you like a review of your facility's energy plan? We are here to help!



 
 
 

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